Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 86.8%
Prévisionnistes
15
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 heure
En retard22 déc. 25, 18:12 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Zoox obtain an AV Driverless Deployment Permit from the CA DMV by the end of 2026
Manifold MarketsWill Level 5 self driving cars be available by (YEAR)?
Manifold MarketsWill fully autonomous (level 5) self-driving cars be available in a major US city before 2030?
Manifold MarketsOnce level 5 self-driving cars are available to the public, will any pre-2024 Tesla model be capable of it?
Manifold MarketsOpenAI’s valuation end of October 2026?
PolymarketWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by October 31?
PolymarketRègles
Resolution criteria
- The market resolves YES if any Baidu electric vehicle is available to ride in London at any point during 2026 for a member of the public (ie not closed beta) via the Uber or Lyft app
- Resolution will be confirmed via official announcements from Baidu, Uber, Lyft, or Transport for London (TfL) confirming that rides are available to the public in London.
- Baidu has announced plans to bring robotaxis to London starting in 2026 through partnerships with Lyft and Uber, with Apollo Go autonomous vehicles to be available through both platforms.
- The vehicles are Baidu's RT6 models—fully electric cars designed specifically for ride-hailing, developed from the outset to operate without a driver.
- Baidu's Apollo Go operates in 22 cities globally with more than 250,000 weekly trips.
