Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
Non 53.5%
Prévisionnistes
23
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 13 heures
Obsolète18 juin 24, 05:48 UTC1 janv. 29, 06:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will there be a complete, professional looking comic book adaptation of HPMOR, before 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill Mikael Akerfeldt and Steven Wilson work on a successor of Storm Corrosion in May 2026?
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Manifold Markets"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
PolymarketNext James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
KalshiNext James Bond actor?
PolymarketRègles
Per https://dragaera.fandom.com/wiki/Book_list, the Dragaera series is planned to have 19 books, 17 of which have been published, with Chreotha and The Last Contract remaining.
- Will the author, Steven Brust, successfully complete both works, with them published in any form, before January 1st, 2029?
Marchés ouverts
EntertainmentPOLYMARKET"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
- 950 - 960m+18.0pt69.6%
- 940 - 950m-16.5pt26.5%
- 970m++1.1pt2%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 319,8 k €
- Volume 24h
- 98 k €
KALSHINext James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
- Jack Lowden+25.0pt67%
- Callum Turner-3.0pt21%
- Jack Barton-8.0pt20%
+27 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,8 M €
POLYMARKETNext James Bond actor?
- Jack Lowden+23.4pt48%
- No Bond chosen-6.3pt17%
- Jack Barton-3.5pt9%
+21 résultats de plus
KALSHIPractical Magic 2 · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45-55.0pt18%
- Above 50-59.0pt4%
- Above 55-54.0pt2%
+7 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 80 k €
KALSHIPrimetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 4599%
- Above 5099%
- Above 5599%
+10 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 130,6 k €
- Volume 24h
- 45,3 k €
KALSHIBig Brother Season 28 · Winner
- Yash Patel+4.0pt27.7%
- Barrett Pfeiffer17%
- Drew Campbell+1.0pt13.4%
+14 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 4 M €
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- Runner · Rotten Tomatoes score
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will author Steven Brust complete the Dragaera series by the end of 2028? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 54% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will author Steven Brust complete the Dragaera series by the end of 2028? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will author Steven Brust complete the Dragaera series by the end of 2028? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2029.
- Comment Will author Steven Brust complete the Dragaera series by the end of 2028? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Per https://dragaera.fandom.com/wiki/Book_list, the Dragaera series is planned to have 19 books, 17 of which have been published, with Chreotha and The Last Contract remaining.