Will armed conflict break out between Ethiopia and Eritrea by December 31, 2026?
PolitiqueGéopolitiqueOne-OffMoyen-Orient2moisManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 68%
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Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
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Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 heure
En retard21 janv. 26, 18:19 UTC30 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
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Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will there be sustained armed conflict between Ethiopia and Eritrea by end of December 31, 2026?
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PolymarketRègles
Tensions have been increasing between Ethiopia and Eritrea as Ethiopian Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed has led a PR push about the country's need for consistent access to a seaport.
- Ethiopia is the world's largest landlocked country.
- Ethiopia and Eritrea engaged in a bloody border war from 1999-2001, but Abiy signed a peace deal in 2018 to restore ties, for which he won the Nobel Peace Prize.
- Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if armed conflict between Ethiopia and Eritrea occurs by December 31, 2026.
- Armed conflict is defined as sustained military hostilities involving direct combat operations between the two nations' armed forces, resulting in casualties.
