US and Canada engage in armed conflict before January 20, 2029
One-OffPolitique américaineGéopolitique2a
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
Non 95.1%
Non 95.1%Prévisionnistes
24
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 10 heures
Obsolète4 janv. 25, 19:09 UTC21 janv. 29, 00:00 UTC
Tendances
Règles
This market resolves YES if there is a direct military engagement between the armed forces of the United States and Canada before January 20, 2029.
- Resolution criteria:
- Must involve official government forces (ex. uniformed military, national guard, or police acting in an official capacity, not private militias or individuals)
- Must include exchange of fire or direct combat operations
- Must result in the creation of a wikipedia page, with a table indicating at least 10 total casualties or losses and with the USA and Canada as belligerents on opposing sides, and that page must remain up for at least a week.
- (ex. this page)
