Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 99%
Prévisionnistes
18
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 27 minutes
18 mars 26, 16:21 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will a class action lawsuit be filed against Apple over the iPhone Duo before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Apple announce an iPhone model with no external ports for wires or connections before the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Apple announce an iPhone model with no external ports for wires or connections before the end of 2029?
Manifold MarketsIn what year will the Apple iPhone release a version with the next standard connector adopted after USB-C?
Manifold MarketsElon Musk # tweets October 29 - October 31, 2026?
PolymarketElon Musk # tweets October 27 - November 3, 2026?
PolymarketRègles
Resolution criteria
- The market resolves YES if Apple announces the iPhone Air 2 at a fall 2026 event (typically early September).
- The announcement must be made by Apple through an official keynote, press release, or special event.
- If Apple does not announce the iPhone Air 2 in 2026, the market resolves NO.
- Apple introduced its first iPhone Air in September 2025, positioning it as Apple's thinnest, lightest iPhone to date.
- The original iPhone Air, introduced in September 2025, marked a bold departure with its ultra-thin design and pro-level performance, but sales figures have reportedly fallen short of expectations.
