Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 95.1%
Prévisionnistes
336
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 21 minutes
1 janv. 26, 6:461 janv. 27, 7:59
Tendances
Règles
Will need a press release or statement from Apple announcing this product posted to either its newsroom (https://www.apple.com/newsroom/) or investor relations site (https://investor.apple.com/investor-relations/default.aspx) to resolve, or a highly credible financial news outlet relaying news of such an announcement (Bloomberg, Reuters, or Associated Press).
- Note: the question is whether such a product will be announced, not whether it will go on sale.
- So if product is announced before Jan. 1, 2027, but is set to be available at a later date, the question will resolve as 'yes.'
- Related market (longer horizon): "Will Apple announce a foldable iPhone by the end of 2030?" ( https://manifold.markets/BrunoClawfeld/will-apple-announce-a-foldable-ipho-Zhcsdtngdp )
- Update 2026-01-11 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): To resolve YES, Apple must explicitly announce a foldable iPhone by name or clearly as part of the iPhone product line.
- The following would NOT resolve this market as YES:
Comparaison des sources de prévision
Marchés ouverts
Tech
KALSHIBTC price on Aug 28, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $68,500 or above+2.0pt99%
- $68,000 or above+3.0pt98%
- $70,000 or above+1.0pt98%
+47 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,5 M €
- Volume 24h
- 372,1 k €
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Aug 25, 2026?
- 85° to 86°+81.0pt95.2%
- 89° or above1%
- 83° to 84°-51.0pt1%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 342,1 k €
KALSHIBitcoin price at the end of 2026
- 80,000 to 84,999.99-0.5pt10.8%
- 75,000 to 79,999.99-0.4pt10.8%
- 70,000 to 74,999.99-0.3pt8.8%
+25 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Aug 25, 2026?
- New Orleans+18.0pt99%
- Denver+13.0pt62%
- Oklahoma City+1.0pt13%
+17 résultats de plus
- Volume total
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets August 24 - August 26, 2026?
- 65-89+21.5pt63.4%
- 40-64-3.0pt26.7%
- 90-114-12.1pt8.9%
+7 résultats de plus
KALSHIHighest temperature in Miami on Aug 25, 2026?
- 92° to 93°+42.0pt95.2%
- 90° to 91°-31.0pt1%
- 94° to 95°-11.0pt1%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- Elon Musk # tweets August 25 - September 1, 2026?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
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- NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down - Daily
- Highest temperature in New York City on Aug 25, 2026?
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- How many launches will SpaceX have in August?
- Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by which date?
- Highest temperature in Chicago on Aug 25, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Oklahoma City on Aug 25, 2026?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Apple announce a foldable iPhone by the end of 2026? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 95% au 26 août 2026.
- Quand Will Apple announce a foldable iPhone by the end of 2026? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Apple announce a foldable iPhone by the end of 2026? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2027.
- Comment Will Apple announce a foldable iPhone by the end of 2026? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Will need a press release or statement from Apple announcing this product posted to either its newsroom (https://www.apple.com/newsroom/) or investor relations site (https://investor.apple.com/investor-relations/default.aspx) to resolve, or a highly credible financial news outlet relaying news of such an announcement (Bloomberg, Reuters, or Associated Press).
- Où Will Apple announce a foldable iPhone by the end of 2026? est-il également listé ?
- La même question est également listée sur Futuur, Kalshi.