Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 62.1%
Prévisionnistes
8
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 18 heures
Obsolète26 sept. 25, 02:06 UTC1 nov. 26, 02:05 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Règles
Resolution criteria
- Resolves YES if, in the official One Piece manga by Eiichiro Oda, any canon member of the Straw Hat Pirates is explicitly transformed by Imu into a “devil” (e.g., devil/demon/oni) due to Imu’s direct action or ability.
- The transformation must be stated or clearly labeled in dialogue, narration, or official materials (e.g., SBS in a collected volume).
- Evidence must come from an officially released chapter/volume (not leaks/spoilers).
- Primary sources to check: https://www.viz.com/shonenjump/chapters/one-piece and https://mangaplus.shueisha.co.jp/titles/200016.
- Anime depictions count only if they adapt canon manga content and are consistent with the manga; otherwise manga takes precedence.
Marchés ouverts
Entertainment
POLYMARKET"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
- 950 - 960m+8.5pt76.5%
- 940 - 950m-11.0pt18.6%
- 960 - 970m-0.1pt2%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 342,8 k €
- Volume 24h
- 91,2 k €
KALSHIPrimetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 5099%
- Above 5599%
- Above 60+2.0pt99%
+10 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 182,4 k €
- Volume 24h
- 90,8 k €
POLYMARKETNext James Bond actor?
- Jack Lowden+25.1pt47.2%
- No Bond chosen-3.1pt18.9%
- Jack Barton-1.4pt10.4%
+21 résultats de plus
KALSHINext James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
- Jack Lowden+8.0pt46%
- Jack Barton-4.0pt21%
- Callum Turner-6.0pt18%
+27 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,8 M €
KALSHIRunner · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45+15.0pt99%
- Above 50+39.0pt97%
- Above 55+42.0pt84%
+7 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 264,6 k €
KALSHIPractical Magic 2 · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45-53.0pt14%
- Above 50-56.0pt8%
- Above 55-48.0pt2%
+14 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 84,3 k €
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will any Strawhats turned into a devil by Imu? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 62% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will any Strawhats turned into a devil by Imu? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will any Strawhats turned into a devil by Imu? doit être résolu le 1 novembre 2026.
- Comment Will any Strawhats turned into a devil by Imu? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolution criteria