Prévision communautaire actuelle
Non 84.6%
Prévisionnistes
59
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 11 heures
Obsolète8 avr. 23, 05:49 UTC1 janv. 30, 08:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Any US president (current or former) is assassinated before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Catalonia's self-exiled former president, Carles Puigdemont, return to Catalonia a free man before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWhich living current/former US president will die first?
Manifold MarketsWill Zohran Mamdani become President of the United States before 2045?
KalshiWill Nick Fuentes become President of the United States before 2045?
KalshiWill JD Vance be elected President of the United States in 2028?
FutuurRègles
The death must take place after market creation and before market close.
Marchés ouverts
Politics
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-0.3pt18%
- Jon Ossoff16%
- Gavin Newsom-0.7pt15%
+48 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,1 Md €
- Volume 24h
- 2,1 M €
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance51%
- Marco Rubio+0.3pt16%
- Ron DeSantis-0.1pt3%
+39 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETVenezuela leader end of 2026?
- Nicolás Maduro-33.7pt51%
- Delcy Rodríguez+29.5pt42%
- No Head of State-0.3pt1%
+13 résultats de plus
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+0.5pt90.1%
- Republican Party-1.3pt9.9%
- Volume total
- 29,2 M €
- Volume 24h
- 621,6 k €
POLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+2.0pt94%
- Yes-2.0pt6%
- Volume total
- 19,6 M €
- Volume 24h
- 488,8 k €
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep+1.0pt59%
- D-House, R-Senate+1.0pt30%
- Republicans sweep-1.3pt10%
+1 résultats de plus
- 2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- What will Trump say this week?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Los Angeles Mayor winner?
- Brazil Presidential Election
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- Next French Presidential Election
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will any current or former president of the United States be assassinated before 2030? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 85% au 20 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will any current or former president of the United States be assassinated before 2030? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will any current or former president of the United States be assassinated before 2030? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2030.
- Comment Will any current or former president of the United States be assassinated before 2030? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : The death must take place after market creation and before market close.