Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
Oui 57%
Prévisionnistes
36
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 19 heures
Obsolète24 nov. 22, 22:48 UTC1 janv. 30, 07:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Tesla sell >$1B of humanoid robots by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill 1M humanoid robots be manufactured before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill 200K humanoid robots be manufactured before 2030?
Manifold MarketsBTC price on Sep 9, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
KalshiElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
PolymarketBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
KalshiRègles
Clarification - humanoid robots.
- See similar market on Tesla: https://manifold.markets/Gigacasting/will-tesla-sell-1b-of-humanoid-robo
- Nov 24, 2:54pm: Will any company sell >$1B of robots before 2030? → Will any company sell >$1B of humanoid robots before 2030?
- Update 2025-03-02 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Resolution Criteria Update:
- The revenue threshold of >$1B is measured in 2023 dollars.
Marchés ouverts
TechKALSHIBTC price on Sep 9, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $76,250 or above99%
- $75,000 or above99%
- $75,250 or above98%
+77 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 541,2 k €
- Volume 24h
- 536,7 k €
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
- 160-179+18.0pt37.1%
- 180-199+10.0pt36.2%
- 200-219-10.0pt12.4%
+23 résultats de plus
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $72,500 or above+3.0pt99%
- $69,000 or above99%
- $68,500 or above+1.0pt98%
+47 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,2 M €
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
- 40-64+39.3pt96%
- 65-89-29.7pt4%
- <40-24.4pt0%
+7 résultats de plus
KALSHIWhen will Apple release the iPhone 18?
- Before April 2027+3.0pt71.8%
- Before March 202717.3%
- Before February 2027-1.0pt6.4%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
POLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic89.9%
- OpenAI-1.5pt8.1%
- Google-0.1pt2%
+18 résultats de plus
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- Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by which date?
- When will Apple Inc. release the iPhone 18 Pro?
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- ETH price on Sep 9, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
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- BNB price range on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- Elon Musk # tweets September 11 - September 18, 2026?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will any company sell >$1B of humanoid robots before 2030? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 57% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will any company sell >$1B of humanoid robots before 2030? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will any company sell >$1B of humanoid robots before 2030? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2030.
- Comment Will any company sell >$1B of humanoid robots before 2030? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Clarification - humanoid robots.