Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 58.4%
Prévisionnistes
18
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 9 minutes
5 sept. 26, 03:42 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
SSI public model released by which date?
PolymarketOpenAI's latest flagship public model unavailable through a Cursor subscription on December 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Anthropic release a new frontier model before their IPO?
Manifold MarketsAnthropic IPO by which date?
PolymarketWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
KalshiWill Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
PolymarketRègles
Best means ECI (Epoch Capabilities Index) score for publicly available models available on the day of their IPO.
- The ECI score doesn't need to have been settled by IPO.
Marchés ouverts
Corporate ActionsKALSHIWill GameStop acquire eBay in 2026?
- No92%
- Yes+2.0pt8%
- Volume total
- 2,7 M €
- Volume 24h
- 36,1 k €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+1.5pt90%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,84%
+7 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 2,4 M €
POLYMARKETWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- ↑$1.25T+1.3pt100%
- ↑$1.1T+3.6pt100%
- ↑$1.0T+2.4pt100%
+10 résultats de plus
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Mar 1, 202798%
- Before Apr 1, 202795%
- Before Jan 1, 202792%
+9 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,5 M €
- Volume 24h
- 16,8 k €
POLYMARKETWill Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
- Anthropic-2.8pt94%
- OpenAI+2.8pt6%
- Volume total
- 308,7 k €
- Volume 24h
- 15,6 k €
POLYMARKETOpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- 1.5T+-0.3pt78.4%
- 1.25T–1.5T-1.0pt8.8%
- No IPO by December 31, 2027+2.9pt6.9%
+4 résultats de plus
- When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Middle Brackets)
- Who will successfully take over Warner Brothers?
- Which companies will officially announce an IPO this year?
- Discord IPO Closing Market Cap
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- IPOs before 2027?
- In which month will Anthropic IPO?
- What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- Will California authorize an alternative wage or other qualifying relief from goat-herder wage and overtime obligations before Oct 1, 2026?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Anthropic have the best public model when they IPO? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 58% au 11 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Anthropic have the best public model when they IPO? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Anthropic have the best public model when they IPO? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2026.
- Comment Will Anthropic have the best public model when they IPO? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Best means ECI (Epoch Capabilities Index) score for publicly available models available on the day of their IPO.