Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2029?
PolitiqueOne-OffSanté et médecinePolitique américaineCriminalité et justice2aManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 86.4%
Prévisionnistes
8
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 13 minutes
16 sept. 26, 05:47 UTC31 déc. 28, 11:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Anthony Fauci go to prison before 2029?
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Manifold MarketsWho will be arrested in 2026?
KalshiRègles
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if Dr. Anthony Fauci is formally arrested, booked, or self-surrenders and is processed by federal, state, or local law enforcement in connection with criminal charges at any point before January 1, 2029 (12:00 AM UTC).
- It will resolve to NO if no such arrest, booking, or processing occurs by the deadline.
- For the purposes of this market, an indictment, criminal referral, subpoena, or congressional contempt citation without a subsequent physical arrest, taking into custody, or formal booking/processing by law enforcement will not suffice for a YES resolution.
- The outcome will be verified using reports from reputable national news outlets such as the Associated Press or Reuters.
- In 2026, political and legal scrutiny surrounding Dr. Anthony Fauci's tenure as director of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases (NIAID) escalated.