Will an official mugshot of Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be published before her death?
One-OffUS PoliticsManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 78.3%
Prévisionnistes
16
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 4 heures
Obsolète27 août 23, 16:33 UTC31 déc. 50, 22:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
What government positions will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez hold for any length of time in the rest of her life?
Manifold MarketsWill an official mugshot of Marjorie Taylor Greene be published before her death?
Manifold MarketsWill an official mugshot of Anthony Fauci be published before his death?
Manifold MarketsWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run for Senate in 2028?
KalshiWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be the Democratic presidential nominee in 2028?
FutuurWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the Democratic Nomination for US President in 2028?
ForecastExRègles
This market is part of a series of markets inspired by a scroll through Rumble.com.
- They will be resolved to PROB based on the spirit of the hypothesis (somewhat vibes-based), using evidence posted in comments and own research if necessary.
- I will not be trading in those markets.
- If you want to discuss this series of markets in general there is a Discord thread.
- [image]Mugshot series: @/CodeandSolder/will-an-official-mugshot-of-george @/CodeandSolder/will-an-official-mugshot-of-anthony @/CodeandSolder/will-an-official-mugshot-of-joe-bid @/CodeandSolder/will-an-official-mugshot-of-hillary @/CodeandSolder/will-an-official-mugshot-of-nancy-p @/CodeandSolder/will-an-official-mugshot-of-mike-pe @/CodeandSolder/will-an-official-mugshot-of-alexand
- @/CodeandSolder/will-an-official-mugshot-of-any-cur
Marchés ouverts
US Politics
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+1.1pt100%
- $25M+3.5pt99%
- $50M+7.9pt99%
+11 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 3 M €
- Volume 24h
- 2,4 M €
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party84%
- Republican Party16%
- Volume total
- 25,2 M €
- Volume 24h
- 843,8 k €
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- D-House, D-Senate-1.0pt46.5%
- D-House, R-Senate36.6%
- R-House, R-Senate-1.0pt14.8%
+1 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHITexas Senate winner?
- Ken Paxton-2.0pt50.5%
- James Talarico+2.0pt49.5%
- Volume total
- 9,6 M €
- Volume 24h
- 402,7 k €
POLYMARKETPrime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Gadi Eizenkot-3.8pt56.8%
- Benjamin Netanyahu+1.0pt29.5%
- Naftali Bennett7.4%
+16 résultats de plus
KALSHITX-15 House winner?
- Bobby Pulido+3.0pt58%
- Monica De La Cruz-4.0pt42%
- Volume total
- 1,7 M €
- Volume 24h
- 216,3 k €
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- What will Trump say this week?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- What will Trump say during RNC Convention (Night 2)?
- Rhode Island Republican Governor nominee?
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Who will Trump mention during the RNC Midterm Convention?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will an official mugshot of Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be published before her death? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 78% au 10 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will an official mugshot of Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be published before her death? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will an official mugshot of Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be published before her death? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2050.
- Comment Will an official mugshot of Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be published before her death? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : This market is part of a series of markets inspired by a scroll through Rumble.com.