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Will an autonomous robot beat an Olympic champion at table tennis before 2028?

SportOne-OffIA1a

Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibré

Prévision communautaire actuelle

Non 78.4%

Prévisionnistes

12

Type de question

binary

Méthodologie

Play-money forecasting platform

Type de source

Prévision

Données du marché

Mis à jour il y a 11 heures

Obsolète

22 avr. 26, 19:20 UTC31 déc. 27, 20:08 UTC

Tendances

Résultat24hProbabilité

Marchés Associés

Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.

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Règles

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any time before January 1, 2028, an autonomous robot defeats an active (non-retired) athlete who has won an Olympic gold medal in table tennis in a standard match, or if a robot is officially recognized as having beaten an Olympic champion in a documented, competitive table tennis match.
The match must be played under International Table Tennis Federation (ITTF) rules or similar professional standards.
A "robot" is defined as a machine utilizing artificial intelligence to autonomously control paddle movement and ball tracking in real-time, without human remote operation.
Table tennis is a high-speed sport requiring extreme precision, rapid reaction times, and tactical adaptation, making it a benchmark challenge for robotics and AI.
While robotic systems have been developed to play table tennis, they have historically struggled against elite human players due to the speed and spin complexities inherent in professional play.

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Questions fréquentes

Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will an autonomous robot beat an Olympic champion at table tennis before 2028? ?: Manifold Markets cote No à 78% au 8 septembre 2026.
Quand Will an autonomous robot beat an Olympic champion at table tennis before 2028? sera-t-il résolu ?: Will an autonomous robot beat an Olympic champion at table tennis before 2028? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2027.
Comment Will an autonomous robot beat an Olympic champion at table tennis before 2028? est-il réglé ?: Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolution criteria

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