Prévision communautaire actuelle
Non 87.5%
Prévisionnistes
15
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 14 heures
Obsolète5 août 26, 04:05 UTC31 déc. 27, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will an autonomous robot beat an Olympic champion at table tennis before 2028?
Manifold MarketsWhich tennis player will announce their retirement first?
Manifold MarketsIn what year will a humanoid robot beat an olympic champion at their sport?
Manifold MarketsWhen will a humanoid robot beat a human tennis pro in a singles match
Manifold MarketsWill a humanoid robot walk on Mars before a human does?
KalshiWill any human-created robot or life form create a copy of itself before 2030?
Manifold MarketsRègles
Resolves YES if a humanoid robot (a robot that resembles a human and moves similar to a human) beats a ranked top 10 APT mens tennis player by the end of 2027.
- Otherwise, resolves NO.
- The robot needs to play a full match with the player and only be recharged (no battery replacement) as often as the player does.
- Note that this condition may change a teeny bit according to popular opinion.
- The success must be reported by a credible source to be counted.
- If nothing is reported by the end of 2027, this market resolves NO.
