Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibré
Prévision communautaire actuelle
Non 87.5%
Prévisionnistes
15
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 2 heures
Obsolète
5 août 26, 04:05 UTC31 déc. 27, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Résultat24hProbabilité
Règles
Resolves YES if a humanoid robot (a robot that resembles a human and moves similar to a human) beats a ranked top 10 APT mens tennis player by the end of 2027.
Otherwise, resolves NO.
The robot needs to play a full match with the player and only be recharged (no battery replacement) as often as the player does.
Note that this condition may change a teeny bit according to popular opinion.
The success must be reported by a credible source to be counted.
If nothing is reported by the end of 2027, this market resolves NO.
Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will a humanoid robot beat a ranked top #10 tennis player by EOY 2027? ?
Manifold Markets cote No à 88% au 8 septembre 2026.
Quand Will a humanoid robot beat a ranked top #10 tennis player by EOY 2027? sera-t-il résolu ?
Will a humanoid robot beat a ranked top #10 tennis player by EOY 2027? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2027.
Comment Will a humanoid robot beat a ranked top #10 tennis player by EOY 2027? est-il réglé ?
Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolves YES if a humanoid robot (a robot that resembles a human and moves similar to a human) beats a ranked top 10 APT mens tennis player by the end of 2027.