Prévision communautaire actuelle
2025-2030 98.6%En tête parmi 10 options
Prévisionnistes
18
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 10 heures
Obsolète13 mars 24, 04:13 UTC2 janv. 60, 02:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will an autonomous robot beat an Olympic champion at table tennis before 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill a robot beat an Olympic table tennis gold medalist before 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill a humanoid robot beat a ranked top #10 tennis player by EOY 2027?
Manifold MarketsWhen will a humanoid robot beat a human tennis pro in a singles match
Manifold MarketsWill a humanoid robot walk on Mars before a human does?
KalshiWho will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026?
Manifold MarketsRègles
Market will resolve...
- YES if a robot with the characteristics given below defeats the current olympic champion at their sport within the detailed time intervals.
- NO if humans are still undefeated within the given time intervals.
- OTHER if an unexpected situation happens.
- The idea is for the robot to be physically similar to a human so the competition is fair.
- It must abide to the following limitations (which I'm open to changing, if given a good reason), as to make the competition fair.
