Prévision communautaire actuelle
Oui 56.8%
Prévisionnistes
10
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 15 heures
Obsolète9 sept. 26, 11:49 UTC31 déc. 37, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will a new subatomic particle be experimentally confirmed to exist before 2040?
Manifold MarketsWho will create the first AI model to generate a high quality movie before 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill a generative AI model be able to make a movie from a novel before the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsWhich company has best AI model end of 2026?
PolymarketWhich company has the best AI model end of November?
PolymarketWhich company has #1 AI model end of December? (Style Control On)
PolymarketRègles
This question resolves YES if, at any point prior to December 31, 2037, all four of the following conditions are met.
- Otherwise, the question resolves NO.
- Attribution & Origin
- An artificial intelligence system (an autonomous model, algorithm, or AI agent) must generate, derive, or synthesize the core mathematical framework, field equations, or conceptual mechanism of a novel physics theory.
- Publication & Attribution Requirement: The theory must be published in a peer-reviewed journal recognized by the Web of Science (e.g., Physical Review Letters, Physical Review X, Nature, or Science).
- Compliance with Publishing Standards: Because major academic publishers prohibit listing non-human software as a formal paper author, the AI model does not need to be listed as a co-author.
