Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 85.8%
Prévisionnistes
3
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 7 heures
Obsolète28 mars 26, 04:16 UTC1 janv. 29, 00:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will @firstuserhere author a bestselling book by the end of 2027? (10000 Mana subsidy)
Manifold MarketsWill the New York Times positively cover Allan Lichtman’s 13 Keys prediction in 2028?
Manifold MarketsOn what day will the New York Times (NYT) project the winner of the House for the 2026 Midterms?
Manifold MarketsOn what day will the New York Times (NYT) project the winner of the Senate for the 2026 Midterms?
Manifold MarketsNew York Times wins OpenAI lawsuit?
KalshiWhat will New York Times say during their next earnings call?
KalshiRègles
Resolves YES if a book appears on any New York Times bestseller list (fiction, nonfiction, or any subcategory) where an AI system is credited as the primary author, by December 31, 2028.
- What counts:
- The book must appear on the official NYT bestseller list (nytimes.com/books/best-sellers)
- The AI must be credited as author or primary co-author on the cover/title page
- Ghost-written by AI but credited to a human does NOT count
- A human editor/collaborator is fine as long as AI is credited as author
