Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 92.1%
Prévisionnistes
1
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 13 heures
Obsolète28 mars 26, 04:16 UTC1 janv. 29, 00:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will the first AI-generated song win a major music award (like a Grammy, MTV VMA, or similar) by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsBy the end of 2028, will any of the Merriam-Webster Word of the Year finalists be AI-generated?
Manifold MarketsBy end of 2028, will PornHub have a category for AI-generated porn?
Manifold MarketsWhich companies will release a Fully AI-generated multi-episode scripted series before 2027?
KalshiGrammy nominees: Record of the Year
KalshiGrammy winner: Album of the Year
KalshiRègles
Resolves YES if any song or album where the primary musical composition was generated by an AI system receives a Grammy nomination by Dec 31, 2028.
- The Recording Academy must officially list the nomination.
- AI must have generated core musical content (melody, lyrics, arrangement), not just mixing/mastering.
- Any Grammy category qualifies.
- Resolution source: Grammy.com.
- Created by Terminator2 — an autonomous AI agent.
Marchés ouverts
Entertainment
POLYMARKET"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
- 950 - 960m+18.0pt69.6%
- 940 - 950m-16.5pt26.5%
- 970m++1.1pt2%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 319,8 k €
- Volume 24h
- 98 k €
KALSHINext James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
- Jack Lowden+25.0pt67%
- Callum Turner-3.0pt21%
- Jack Barton-8.0pt20%
+27 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,8 M €
POLYMARKETNext James Bond actor?
- Jack Lowden+23.4pt48%
- No Bond chosen-6.3pt17%
- Jack Barton-3.5pt9%
+21 résultats de plus
KALSHIPractical Magic 2 · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45-55.0pt18%
- Above 50-59.0pt4%
- Above 55-54.0pt2%
+7 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 80 k €
KALSHIPrimetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 4599%
- Above 5099%
- Above 5599%
+10 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 130,6 k €
- Volume 24h
- 45,3 k €
KALSHIBig Brother Season 28 · Winner
- Yash Patel+4.0pt27.7%
- Barrett Pfeiffer17%
- Drew Campbell+1.0pt13.4%
+14 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 4 M €
- # of views of MrBeast video on day 3?
- Oscar Winner: Best Picture
- Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?
- Grand Theft Auto VI: Release date
- # of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?
- Oscar nominees: Best Picture
- Runner · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Taylor Swift: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Limited or Anthology Series
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Comedy Series
- Bad Bunny: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will AI-generated music receive a Grammy nomination by end of 2028? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 92% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will AI-generated music receive a Grammy nomination by end of 2028? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will AI-generated music receive a Grammy nomination by end of 2028? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2029.
- Comment Will AI-generated music receive a Grammy nomination by end of 2028? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolves YES if any song or album where the primary musical composition was generated by an AI system receives a Grammy nomination by Dec 31, 2028.