Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 86.7%
Prévisionnistes
12
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 9 heures
Obsolète21 sept. 23, 03:18 UTC1 mars 28, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will the first AI-generated song win a major music award (like a Grammy, MTV VMA, or similar) by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill AI-generated music receive a Grammy nomination by end of 2028?
Manifold MarketsWhen will a YouTube or Twitch channel start streaming realtime AI-generated video?
Manifold MarketsGrammy Winner: Best New Artist
KalshiGrammy winner: Album of the Year
KalshiWhich companies will release a Fully AI-generated multi-episode scripted series before 2027?
KalshiRègles
This question resolves yes if by 2028 an AI-generated song, or a song with a significant component that is AI-generated (e.g. a voice or melody) wins a Grammy.
- An example of a song that is not completely AI-generated but would still count is Ghostwriter's Heart on my Sleeve, which most likely uses voice conversion to sound like Drake.
Marchés ouverts
Entertainment
POLYMARKET"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
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- 940 - 950m-11.0pt18.6%
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+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
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- Volume 24h
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KALSHIPrimetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 5099%
- Above 5599%
- Above 60+2.0pt99%
+10 résultats de plus
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- Volume 24h
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- Jack Lowden+8.0pt46%
- Jack Barton-4.0pt21%
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+27 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,8 M €
KALSHIRunner · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45+15.0pt99%
- Above 50+39.0pt97%
- Above 55+42.0pt84%
+7 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 264,6 k €
KALSHIPractical Magic 2 · Rotten Tomatoes score
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- Above 50-56.0pt8%
- Above 55-48.0pt2%
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will an AI-generated song receive a Grammy by 2028? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 87% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will an AI-generated song receive a Grammy by 2028? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will an AI-generated song receive a Grammy by 2028? doit être résolu le 1 mars 2028.
- Comment Will an AI-generated song receive a Grammy by 2028? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : This question resolves yes if by 2028 an AI-generated song, or a song with a significant component that is AI-generated (e.g. a voice or melody) wins a Grammy.