Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 86.2%
Prévisionnistes
817
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 42 minutes
4 févr. 22, 22:54 UTC1 janv. 01, 07:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will anything other than AI wipe out humanity by 2100?
Manifold MarketsWill AI wipe out humanity before the year 2100
Manifold MarketsWill AI wipe out humanity before the year 2040?
Manifold MarketsWill AI wipe out humanity before the year 2030?
Manifold MarketsOpenAI announces bankruptcy by which date?
PolymarketBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiRègles
This market will resolve to no if AI has not wiped out humanity by the year 2100.
- If AI has wiped out humanity, the market resolution is on them.
- I made this bet with @tomchivers on the Browser Bets YouTube show.
- You can join in here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ak6HxFREPyc&t=1s