Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 83%
Prévisionnistes
33
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 9 minutes
12 sept. 26, 21:53 UTC4 nov. 26, 22:49 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Abdul El-Sayed runs behind Jocelyn Benson by which date?
PolymarketAbdul El Sayed Winning margin in 2026 Michigan Senate election?
Manifold MarketsWill Abdul El Sayed win the primary and general for senate in Michigan?
Manifold MarketsWill Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan general election for US Senate in 2026?
ForecastExWhat percentage of the Black vote will Abdul El-Sayed get?
Manifold MarketsAbdul El Sayed Margin Of Victory?
Manifold MarketsRègles
Abdul El-Sayed said in May he would beat Mike Rogers by 7.
- This question resolves yes if Abdul El-Sayed wins the 2026 Michigan Senate race by greater than or equal to 7 points.
- It resolves no otherwise.
- I will use the certified results as ground truth, but I will probably resolve this the day after the election based on the New York Times results page if the resolution is obvious.
- I may trade on this market.
