Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleEl Sayed wins by any margin 82%-2.4ptEn tête parmi 15 options
Prévisionnistes
78
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
+5.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 7 minutes
30 oct. 26, 23:44 UTC4 nov. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Abdul El Sayed Winning margin in 2026 Michigan Senate election?
Manifold MarketsWill Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan general election for US Senate in 2026?
ForecastExWill Abdul El Sayed win the primary and general for senate in Michigan?
Manifold MarketsWill Abdul El Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Election by 3% or more?
Manifold MarketsWill Abdul El-Sayed win by 7 points or more?
Manifold MarketsAbdul El-Sayed runs behind Jocelyn Benson by which date?
PolymarketRègles
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves based on the official certified general election results published by the Michigan Department of State / Michigan Board of State Canvassers.
- Can resolve early if reporting from Associated Press has a clear resolution.
- Margin of victory is calculated as the difference between the percentage of the total votes received by Abdul El-Sayed and the percentage received by Mike Rogers (i.e., El-Sayed % - Rogers %), rounded to the nearest tenth of a percentage point.
- multiple threshold options can resolve YES:
- El Sayed wins: Resolves YES if Abdul El-Sayed receives more votes than Mike Rogers.
