Will a US president order the assassination of any of the following, and get away without criminal charges before 2029?
PolitiqueOne-OffPolitique américaineCriminalité et justice2a
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOther US citizen 37.8%En tête parmi 10 options
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multiple choice
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
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Mis à jour il y a 8 heures
Obsolète5 juil. 24, 15:26 UTC1 janv. 29, 04:59 UTC
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The recent Supreme Court ruling (Trump v United States - wiki, pdf) is being criticized for allowing absolute and presumptive immunity for various acts involving core powers.
- One of the recurring hypotheticals is (paraphrased) "ordering Seal Team Six to assassinate a the named outcome".
- Will a US president order the assassination of any of the above people by 2029?
- Resolves YES to any assassinations that have been ordered by the president by the end of 2028 as they are ordered (assassinations that are publicly ordered but not carried out prior to 2028 still count).
- Resolves NO to any assassinations that happen, but are not claimed responsibility by the president and are attributed to independent, presidentially-unrelated assassins prior to the end of 2028.
- Resolves NO on December 31st of 2028 for any assassinations that have not yet been ordered.
