Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
Non 59.4%
Prévisionnistes
25
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 10 heures
Obsolète16 déc. 23, 19:15 UTC1 janv. 31, 05:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Règles
I will resolve YES if a novel computing medium (analog, optical, quantum, ect.) computer component enters market and is available and received by consumers by December 31, 2030.
- A novel computing medium shall be defined as any computing machine not utilizing silicone (or other semiconductor) based transistors.
- The consumer device can be either a component (GPU, Accelerator Card, ect.), or a standalone device (Mobile Phone, Wearable, ect.), but must be purchasable for $2000, 2023 purchasing power.
- Additionally Resolves YES, if any of the below markets resolve YES.
- https://manifold.markets/henryw/will-the-first-optical-computer-be?r=THVjYXNUaGVsZW4
- https://manifold.markets/AidenPetersen/will-we-see-analog-accelerators-in
Marchés ouverts
Tech
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 23, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $82,250 or above99%
- $82,000 or above99%
- $76,000 or above99%
+77 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,6 M €
- Volume 24h
- 1,5 M €
KALSHIETH price range on Sep 25, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $3,300 to 3,339.9990%
- $1,540 to 1,579.99+89.0pt90%
- $1,539.99 or below90%
+47 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 662 k €
- Volume 24h
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 25, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $78,000 or above99%
- $76,500 or above99%
- $77,500 or above99%
+47 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 2 M €
- Volume 24h
- 554,6 k €
KALSHIETH price on Sep 25, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $1,940 or above99%
- $2,180 or above99%
- $2,140 or above99%
+47 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 811,5 k €
- Volume 24h
- 379,5 k €
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 23, 2026?
- 78° to 79°+25.0pt48%
- 80° to 81°+1.0pt39.2%
- 82° to 83°-18.0pt6.9%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 23, 2026?
- Philadelphia+83.0pt99%
- Miami+11.0pt99%
- Washington DC+10.0pt99%
+25 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- Elon Musk # tweets September 18 - September 25, 2026?
- ETH price on Sep 23, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- SpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- Bitcoin price at the end of 2026
- Best AI at the end of 2026?
- Highest temperature in Miami on Sep 23, 2026?
- Elon Musk # tweets September 25 - October 2, 2026?
- Which company has the best AI model end of September?
- ETH price range on Sep 23, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down - Daily
- Highest temperature in New York City on Sep 23, 2026?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will a novel computing medium enter consumer electronics by EYO 2030? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 59.4% au 23 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will a novel computing medium enter consumer electronics by EYO 2030? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will a novel computing medium enter consumer electronics by EYO 2030? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2031.
- Comment Will a novel computing medium enter consumer electronics by EYO 2030? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : I will resolve YES if a novel computing medium (analog, optical, quantum, ect.) computer component enters market and is available and received by consumers by December 31, 2030.