Will a human walk on Mars before we discover a room temperature superconductor like LK-99?
WeatherDaily6a
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
Oui 70.2%
Prévisionnistes
27
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 16 heures
Obsolète7 mai 24, 04:55 UTC1 janv. 33, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will a human walk on the moon again before 2033?
Manifold MarketsWill a human walk on the Moon again before 2033?
Manifold MarketsWill we get room temperature superconductors before we discover alien life?
Manifold MarketsNear room-temperature Meissner effect in 2026?
KalshiWill a humanoid robot walk on Mars before a human does?
KalshiWhere will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
KalshiRègles
Walking on Mars as defined by societal consensus
- Sueprconductor as defined by at the same conditions as the LK-99 market, but for any material. and/or general scientific community consensus
- Market open until one happens
Marchés ouverts
WeatherKALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 90° or above+68.0pt95.2%
- 88° to 89°-22.0pt1%
- 84° to 85°-8.0pt1%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 586,2 k €
- Volume 24h
- 568,4 k €
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
- New Orleans+48.0pt99%
- Houston+70.0pt99%
- Minneapolis+17.0pt99%
+19 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHIHighest temperature in New York City on Sep 8, 2026?
- 80° to 81°+53.0pt95.2%
- 79° or below-3.0pt1%
- 82° to 83°-44.0pt1%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHIHighest temperature in Austin on Sep 8, 2026?
- 102° to 103°+55.0pt95.2%
- 100° to 101°-47.0pt1%
- 98° to 99°-9.0pt1%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHIHighest temperature in Miami on Sep 8, 2026?
- 92° to 93°+47.0pt95.2%
- 90° to 91°-34.0pt1%
- 88° to 89°-6.0pt1%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
FORECASTEXWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles (LA)(LAX)(KLAX) exceed 85 F on September 8, 2026?
- Yes86%
- No14%
- Volume total
- 108,2 k €
- Volume 24h
- 108,2 k €
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- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles (LA)(LAX)(KLAX) exceed 88 F on September 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in San Francisco on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Phoenix on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Houston on Sep 8, 2026?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will a human walk on Mars before we discover a room temperature superconductor like LK-99? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 70% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will a human walk on Mars before we discover a room temperature superconductor like LK-99? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will a human walk on Mars before we discover a room temperature superconductor like LK-99? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2033.
- Comment Will a human walk on Mars before we discover a room temperature superconductor like LK-99? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Walking on Mars as defined by societal consensus