Will strong AGI be achieved before we discover a room temperature superconductor like LK-99?
MétéoDaily6a
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 71.2%
Prévisionnistes
10
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 heure
En retard7 mai 24, 04:48 UTC1 janv. 33, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will a human walk on Mars before we discover a room temperature superconductor like LK-99?
Manifold MarketsWill a human walk on Mars before strong AGI is achieved?
Manifold MarketsWill Sam Altman be CEO of Open AI when Strong AGI is achieved by any organization?
Manifold MarketsOpenAI discovers room-temperature superconductor before EOY?
Manifold MarketsHow strong will Trudy be?
PolymarketHow strong will Champi be?
PolymarketRègles
AGI as defined by Manifold's official market, and/or societal consensus
- Sueprconductor as defined by at the same conditions as the LK-99 market, but for any material. and/or general scientific community consensus
- Market open until one happens
