Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 63.5%
Prévisionnistes
44
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 9 heures
Obsolète12 sept. 23, 22:06 UTC2 févr. 29, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will a Democrat win the 2028 Presidential Election?
Manifold MarketsWill a Democrat win the 2028 Presidential Election?
Manifold MarketsWill a Democrat win the 2028 Presidential Election?
Manifold MarketsWill a Democrat win the 2028 Presidential Election?
Manifold MarketsUS House Control After the 2026 Midterms
Robinhood (Rothera)2026 Texas Governor Race
Robinhood (Rothera)Règles
Resolves YES if a member of the Democratic Party wins the 2028 presidential elections.
- If the election is postponed then this market resolves YES if a democrat wins the postponed elections, unless the election is held in or after 2032, in which case this market resolves to NO.
Comparaison des sources de prévision
- Également disponible sur ForecastEx — Will a Republican win the US Presidential Election in 2028? · No 56%
- Également disponible sur Limitless — Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election? · Democratic 65%
- Également disponible sur Manifold Markets — Will a Democrat win the 2028 Presidential Election? · Yes 66%
- Également disponible sur Robinhood (Rothera) — 2028 US Presidential Election: Winning Party · Democrat 62%
- Également disponible sur Polymarket — Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?
