Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleMicah Lasher 98.5%En tête parmi 8 options
Prévisionnistes
45
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 12 heures
Obsolète6 sept. 25, 19:12 UTC6 nov. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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KalshiRègles
Will resolve whoever wins NY-12 according to reputable news sources.
- Resolution criteria
- Resolves to the certified winner of the 2026 U.S. House general election for New York’s 12th Congressional District (NY‑12).
- The named person’s answer resolves YES if NYS Board of Elections certifies them as the winner; all other answers resolve NO upon certification.
- Write‑ins count if certified; party line(s) under New York’s fusion voting are irrelevant.
- Special elections before November 3, 2026 do not count.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Who will win the NY-12 Congressional District (add answers!) ?
- Manifold Markets cote Micah Lasher à 99% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Who will win the NY-12 Congressional District (add answers!) sera-t-il résolu ?
- Who will win the NY-12 Congressional District (add answers!) doit être résolu le 6 novembre 2026.
- Comment Who will win the NY-12 Congressional District (add answers!) est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Will resolve whoever wins NY-12 according to reputable news sources.