Who will win the California State Assembly 12th District Seat?
PolitiqueOne-OffUS PoliticsÉlection2moisManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleEric Lucan 61%En tête parmi 3 options
Prévisionnistes
4
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 15 heures
Obsolète15 juin 26, 16:583 nov. 26, 23:59
Tendances
Règles
the named outcome and the named outcome were the two leading candidates in the California Primaries that took place in early June.
- At this stage, it is a near certainty that both candidates will move on to the run-off election on November 3, 2026.
- To cover the unlikely possibility that one of the two candidates is not certified to move on to the run-off election, this market offers a third choice "Other."
- Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to the candidate who is officially certified as the winner of the November 3, 2026 general election for the California State Assembly District 12 seat.
- The primary source of truth for resolution will be the certified election results published by the California Secretary of State.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Who will win the California State Assembly 12th District Seat? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Eric Lucan à 61% au 1 septembre 2026.
- Quand Who will win the California State Assembly 12th District Seat? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Who will win the California State Assembly 12th District Seat? doit être résolu le 3 novembre 2026.
- Comment Who will win the California State Assembly 12th District Seat? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : the named outcome and the named outcome were the two leading candidates in the California Primaries that took place in early June.