Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuellePete Buttigieg 22.7%En tête parmi 11 options
Prévisionnistes
15
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 11 minutes
11 mars 25, 23:25 UTC1 sept. 28, 03:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Conditional on this candidate winning the 2028 Democratic presidential primary, will they win the general election?
Manifold MarketsIf the first state to hold a Democratic presidential primary is not South Carolina, who will the nominee be?
Manifold MarketsWho will win the 2028 New Hampshire Republican presidential primary?
Manifold MarketsWhich state will vote first in the 2028 Democratic presidential primary?
Kalshi2028 Democratic presidential nominee
KalshiDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
PolymarketRègles
This market will resolve to the candidate with the greatest number of votes in the 2028 New Hampshire Democratic presidential primary.
- In case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the candidate whose last name comes first in alphabetical order.
- If no primary is held by September 1st, 2028, this market will resolve to "the named outcome."
Marchés ouverts
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.6pt24%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 605,6 M €
- Volume 24h
- 691,8 k €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.3pt1%
+16 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt73.3%
- New People (NL)-2.7pt22.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.9pt3%
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.2pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 603,1 M €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt16.2%
- Jon Ossoff-2.0pt16.2%
- Gavin Newsom14.1%
+45 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 183,6 M €
KALSHINew Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Chris Pappas+1.3pt100%
- Karishma Manzur-1.8pt0%
- Jared Sullivan-0.2pt0%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
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- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
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- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- NJ-07 House winner?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Who will win the 2028 New Hampshire Democratic presidential primary? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Pete Buttigieg à 23% au 9 septembre 2026.
- Quand Who will win the 2028 New Hampshire Democratic presidential primary? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Who will win the 2028 New Hampshire Democratic presidential primary? doit être résolu le 1 septembre 2028.
- Comment Who will win the 2028 New Hampshire Democratic presidential primary? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : This market will resolve to the candidate with the greatest number of votes in the 2028 New Hampshire Democratic presidential primary.