Which state will vote first in the 2028 Democratic presidential primary?
1.0 pts (24h)PolitiqueOne-OffÉlection1a
KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
New Hampshire 84.6%+1.0ptEn tête parmi 4 optionsAjusté de la marge : les cotes brutes dépassaient 100 % au total et ont été normalisées.
Qualité du marché
66 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
24,2 €
Liquidité
36 k €
Liquidité élevéeÉcart
1.0 pt
Spread serréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 3 minutes
27 juil. 26, 17:07 UTC1 avr. 28, 03:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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KalshiRègles
If the named outcome holds the earliest 2028 Democratic presidential contest administered by its election officials or the Democratic Party among the 50 states after Issuance and before Apr 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:The Washington PostFox NewsThe Wall Street JournalThe GuardianABCBloomberg NewsCBSSouth China Morning PostNBCthe Associated PressThe VergeBBCAxiosCNNABC News AustraliaThe InformationSemaforMSNBCCBCReutersPoliticoThe New York Times
- A contest counts regardless of whether the Democratic National Committee sanctions, recognizes, or gives delegate effect to it.
- If multiple states vote on the same day, the market will resolve to 1 / N where N is the number of tied states.
- Only reporting from any of the Source Agencies qualifies for the purposes of this market.
- Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify.
- Republishing of content originally produced by other sources (e.g., wire services) only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Which state will vote first in the 2028 Democratic presidential primary? ?
- Kalshi cote New Hampshire à 85% au 9 septembre 2026.
- Quand Which state will vote first in the 2028 Democratic presidential primary? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Which state will vote first in the 2028 Democratic presidential primary? doit être résolu le 1 avril 2028.
- Comment Which state will vote first in the 2028 Democratic presidential primary? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If the named outcome holds the earliest 2028 Democratic presidential contest administered by its election officials or the Democratic Party among the 50 states after Issuance and before Apr 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.