Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleByron Donalds 99%En tête parmi 10 options
Prévisionnistes
25
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
+0.4 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 2 heures
Obsolète10 nov. 24, 12:01 UTC11 nov. 26, 05:59 UTC
Tendances
0.2%
0.2%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Republican Primary Winner win the Florida 9th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?
ForecastExWill Republican Primary Winner win the Florida 22nd District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?
ForecastExWill Republican Primary Winner win the Florida 23rd District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?
ForecastExFlorida Governor Election Margin of Victory
PolymarketFlorida Governor Election Winner
PolymarketWill David Jolly become Florida's next governor?
Manifold MarketsRègles
Les critères de résolution ne sont pas encore disponibles pour ce marché. Cette section sera remplie lors des prochains rafraîchissements une fois les règles de la source enregistrées.
Marchés ouverts
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 606,3 M €
- Volume 24h
- 721 k €
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio+1.0pt20%
- Tucker Carlson+0.1pt3%
+39 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-1.0pt55.5%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+2.5pt42.6%
- Renan Santos-0.1pt1%
+16 résultats de plus
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff16.5%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez15.5%
- Gavin Newsom13.6%
+45 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 183,4 M €
- Volume 24h
- 411,2 k €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+4.0pt73%
- New People (NL)-2.5pt23%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.5pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen-1.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+1.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 résultats de plus
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
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- South Carolina Senate winner?
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Who Will Win the 2026 Republican Primary for Florida Governor? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Byron Donalds à 99% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Who Will Win the 2026 Republican Primary for Florida Governor? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Who Will Win the 2026 Republican Primary for Florida Governor? doit être résolu le 11 novembre 2026.