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  1. Marchés de Prédiction
  2. Politique
  3. Who will win the 2026 election for California's 16th State Senate district
Manifold Markets

Who will win the 2026 election for California's 16th State Senate district

PolitiqueOne-OffUS PoliticsÉlection6mo
Manifold MarketsManifold MarketsSans KYC
Prévision communautaire actuelle
Manifold Markets
Mike Boudreaux 2.6%
En tête parmi 4 options
Prévisionnistes

4

Type de question

multiple choice

Méthodologie

Play-money forecasting platform

Type de source

Prévision

Données du marché

Mis à jour il y a 6 jours

Obsolète
2 juil. 25, 15:2631 déc. 26, 23:59

Tendances

Résultat24hProbabilité

Résultat choisi

Mike Boudreaux3%

Règles

Resolution criteria

Manifold Markets
  • This market will resolve to the candidate who is officially declared the winner of the 2026 election for California's 16th State Senate district.
  • The official results will be sourced from the California Secretary of State's website.
  • California's 16th State Senate district encompasses parts of Fresno, Kern, Kings, and Tulare counties.
  • The district has a history of competitive elections.
  • In the 2022 election, incumbent Democrat Melissa Hurtado narrowly defeated Republican David Shepard by a margin of 22 votes.

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Règles

Resolution criteria

Manifold Markets
  • This market will resolve to the candidate who is officially declared the winner of the 2026 election for California's 16th State Senate district.
  • The official results will be sourced from the California Secretary of State's website.
  • California's 16th State Senate district encompasses parts of Fresno, Kern, Kings, and Tulare counties.
  • The district has a history of competitive elections.
  • In the 2022 election, incumbent Democrat Melissa Hurtado narrowly defeated Republican David Shepard by a margin of 22 votes.