Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleCaroline Menjivar (incumbent) 96.9%
Prévisionnistes
3
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 13 heures
Obsolète2 juil. 25, 15:34 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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KalshiRègles
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to the candidate who officially wins the 2026 election for California's 20th State Senate district.
- The outcome will be determined based on the certified election results published by the California Secretary of State.
- (en.wikipedia.org)
- The 20th State Senate district encompasses most of the San Fernando Valley section of northern Los Angeles, including Burbank, Van Nuys, Reseda, Canoga Park, Tujunga, Sun Valley, Shadow Hills, Lake View Terrace, Arleta, Panorama City, Pacoima, Mission Hills, San Fernando, and Sylmar.
- Caroline Menjivar, the incumbent senator, was elected in 2022 and is eligible to run for re-election in 2026.
