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  1. Marchés de Prédiction
  2. Politique
  3. Who will win the 2026 election for California's 51st State Assembly district
Manifold Markets

Who will win the 2026 election for California's 51st State Assembly district

PolitiqueOne-OffUS PoliticsÉlection6mo
Manifold MarketsManifold MarketsSans KYC
Prévision communautaire actuelle
Manifold Markets
Rick Zbur (Incumbent) 66.8%
En tête parmi 4 options
Prévisionnistes

1

Type de question

multiple choice

Méthodologie

Play-money forecasting platform

Type de source

Prévision

Données du marché

Mis à jour il y a 8 jours

Obsolète
25 août 25, 15:0431 déc. 26, 23:59

Tendances

Résultat24hProbabilité

Résultat choisi

Rick Zbur (Incumbent)67%

Règles

Resolution criteria

Manifold Markets
  • Resolves to the option matching the candidate certified by the California Secretary of State as the winner of California State Assembly District 51 in the November 3, 2026 general election (after any recounts/court-ordered adjustments).
  • Primary outcomes do not resolve this market.
  • Verification: California SOS results portal and the final Statement of Vote; LA County Registrar results may be used as corroboration.
  • Links: https://electionresults.sos.ca.gov/ and https://www.sos.ca.gov/elections/prior-elections/statewide-election-results and https://results.lavote.gov/.
  • (sos.ca.gov, sonomacounty.ca.gov)

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Actifs dans ces sujets

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Règles

Resolution criteria

Manifold Markets
  • Resolves to the option matching the candidate certified by the California Secretary of State as the winner of California State Assembly District 51 in the November 3, 2026 general election (after any recounts/court-ordered adjustments).
  • Primary outcomes do not resolve this market.
  • Verification: California SOS results portal and the final Statement of Vote; LA County Registrar results may be used as corroboration.
  • Links: https://electionresults.sos.ca.gov/ and https://www.sos.ca.gov/elections/prior-elections/statewide-election-results and https://results.lavote.gov/.
  • (sos.ca.gov, sonomacounty.ca.gov)