Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleAny Incumbent Governor or Member of Congress 100%En tête parmi 10 options
Prévisionnistes
6
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 16 heures
Obsolète28 févr. 26, 21:06 UTC2 janv. 27, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
100%
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Tucker Carlson be arrested in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Tucker Carlson endorse, or suggest voting for any Democrat in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Tucker Carlson and Graham Platner meet before election day?
Manifold MarketsWill Tucker Carlson form a third party this year?
KalshiWill Tucker Carlson announce a run for President before 2028?
PredictItWill Tucker Carlson win the Republican Nomination for US President in 2028?
ForecastExRègles
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES for each answer if Tucker Carlson releases an interview with that person or group between March 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026.
- An interview is defined as a conversation published on Tucker Carlson's platforms (Tucker Carlson Network, The Tucker Carlson Show, Tucker on X, or affiliated channels).
- For the purposes of this market, a debate shall count as an interview.
- The interview must be for at least 5 minutes.
- For group categories (e.g., "the named outcome"), the market resolves YES if Carlson interviews any member of that group.
Marchés ouverts
Politics
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 605,7 M €
- Volume 24h
- 697,7 k €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 603,2 M €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 183,4 M €
- Volume 24h
- 471,3 k €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 résultats de plus
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Who will Tucker Carlson interview in 2026 (Starting March 1st) ?
- Manifold Markets cote Any Incumbent Governor or Member of Congress à 100% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Who will Tucker Carlson interview in 2026 (Starting March 1st) sera-t-il résolu ?
- Who will Tucker Carlson interview in 2026 (Starting March 1st) doit être résolu le 2 janvier 2027.
- Comment Who will Tucker Carlson interview in 2026 (Starting March 1st) est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolution criteria