KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréMilieu du carnet sélectionné
Before Jan 1, 2028 · —
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
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Prix enregistré
Before Jan 1, 2028 22.5%En tête parmi 3 options
Before Jan 1, 2028 22.5%Qualité du marché
47 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
8,1 €
Intérêt ouvert
1,6 k $US
Intérêt ouvert faibleAchat / Vente
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Before Jan 1, 2028Écart
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Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 4 minutes
17 août 26, 23:32 UTC1 janv. 27, 04:59 UTC
Le graphique et les variations affichent les probabilités historiques enregistrées, pas le carnet sélectionné en direct.
Tendances
Ligne sélectionnée : milieu du carnet. Autres lignes : références enregistrées, éventuellement normalisées ; les variations sur 24h utilisent l’historique enregistré.
Conditions de la plateforme
Source : Kalshi
Ces conditions sont indicatives ; les opérations simulées de CoinRithm suivent leurs propres règles.
- Clôture anticipée:
- Oui
- Délai de règlement:
- 30m (indicatif)
Profondeur du marché · Before Jan 1, 2028
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
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Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Tucker Carlson be arrested in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWho will Tucker Carlson interview in 2026 (Starting March 1st)
Manifold MarketsWill Tucker Carlson announce a run for President before 2028?
PredictItWill Tucker Carlson ever be elected President?
Manifold MarketsWill Tucker Carlson endorse, or suggest voting for any Democrat in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Tucker Carlson win the Republican Nomination for US President in 2028?
ForecastExRègles
If a new U.S. political party with Tucker Carlson as a founder, co-founder, or principal organizer files with the FEC or a state election authority as a political party or party committee after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:The Washington PostFox NewsThe Wall Street JournalThe GuardianABCBloomberg NewsCBSSouth China Morning PostNBCthe Associated PressThe VergeBBCAxiosCNNABC News AustraliaThe InformationSemaforMSNBCCBCReutersPoliticoThe New York Times
- Only reporting from any of the Source Agencies qualifies for the purposes of this market. Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify. Republishing of content originally produced by other sources (e.g., wire services) only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity.
Règles de chaque résultat
- Before Jan 1, 2028
- If a new U.S. political party with Tucker Carlson as a founder, co-founder, or principal organizer files with the FEC or a state election authority as a political party or party committee after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jul 1, 2027
- If a new U.S. political party with Tucker Carlson as a founder, co-founder, or principal organizer files with the FEC or a state election authority as a political party or party committee after Issuance and before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2027
- If a new U.S. political party with Tucker Carlson as a founder, co-founder, or principal organizer files with the FEC or a state election authority as a political party or party committee after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
