Who will President Herzog first task with forming Israel's next government?
13.9 pts (24h)One-OffPolitiqueÉlectionMoyen-Orient29j
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleGadi Eisenkot 62.7%+13.9ptEn tête parmi 5 options
Prévisionnistes
10
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
+42.7 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 51 minutes
En retard27 oct. 26, 19:10 UTC30 nov. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
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KalshiRègles
Israel voted on October 27, 2026.
- Under Basic Law: The Government, after the official results are published President Isaac Herzog consults every Knesset faction and then tasks one Knesset member with forming a government.
- This market resolves to the person President Herzog FIRST formally tasks with forming the government after the October 27, 2026 election.
- Resolution source: the official announcement from the President's Office (gov.il / president.gov.il), confirmed by Times of Israel, Haaretz, Reuters or AP reporting dated on or after the tasking.
- Only the first formal mandate counts.
- A second mandate later (if the first person fails) does not change the answer.