Who will lose his job first: Defense Secretary Hegseth or Defense Minister Dong?
PolitiqueGéopolitique2aManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréAlerte qualité des donnéesDonnées source dégradées
Données au 26 oct. 2026, 05:51 UTC · politique pm-quality-4
Prévision communautaire actuellePete Hegseth 88.3%
Prévisionnistes
13
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 10 heures
Obsolète22 avr. 25, 03:42 UTC31 déc. 28, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
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Resolution criteria:
- This market will resolve to the individual who remains in their position as Defense Secretary or Defense Minister for the longer duration.
- If both individuals lose their job on the same day (per announcement), resolves 50/50
- Resolves on official government statements, not rumours.
- the named outcome: Appointed as the 29th United States Secretary of Defense on January 25, 2025, under President Donald Trump.
- Hegseth, a former Army National Guard officer and Fox News host, has faced controversies, including allegations of sharing sensitive military information via unsecured channels.