Who will lose his job first: Defense Secretary Hegseth or Defense Minister Dong?
PolitiqueGéopolitique2aManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuellePete Hegseth 88.3%
Prévisionnistes
13
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 6 heures
Obsolète22 avr. 25, 03:42 UTC31 déc. 28, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Pete Hegseth serve a full term as Secretary of Defense (until January 2029)?
Manifold MarketsWho will be Israeli defense minister after the election?
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PolymarketPete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by October 31?
PolymarketPete Hegseth impeached by which date?
PolymarketRègles
Resolution criteria:
- This market will resolve to the individual who remains in their position as Defense Secretary or Defense Minister for the longer duration.
- If both individuals lose their job on the same day (per announcement), resolves 50/50
- Resolves on official government statements, not rumours.
- the named outcome: Appointed as the 29th United States Secretary of Defense on January 25, 2025, under President Donald Trump.
- Hegseth, a former Army National Guard officer and Fox News host, has faced controversies, including allegations of sharing sensitive military information via unsecured channels.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Who will lose his job first: Defense Secretary Hegseth or Defense Minister Dong? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Pete Hegseth à 88% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Who will lose his job first: Defense Secretary Hegseth or Defense Minister Dong? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Who will lose his job first: Defense Secretary Hegseth or Defense Minister Dong? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2028.
- Comment Who will lose his job first: Defense Secretary Hegseth or Defense Minister Dong? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolution criteria: