Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleDemocrats 56%En tête parmi 3 options
Prévisionnistes
74
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
+6.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 5 heures
Obsolète7 janv. 26, 16:24 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
0%
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Democrats control both the House and the Senate after the 2026 midterms?
Manifold MarketsWill Democrats control both the House and the Senate after the 2026 midterms?
Manifold MarketsWill the Republicans maintain a majority in the senate after the midterms
Manifold MarketsWhich party will control the Senate after the midterm elections?
SmarketsWhich party will win the U.S. House?
KalshiDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
PolymarketRègles
Resolution criteria
- The market resolves based on which party controls the U.S. Senate following elections scheduled for November 3, 2026, when 35 of the 100 Senate seats will be contested.
- Control is determined by which party holds a majority of seats (51 or more).
- The Senate currently has 53 Republicans and 47 Democrats (including two independents who caucus with Democrats).
- Democrats need a net gain of four seats to win a majority, while Republicans can lose no more than two seats to retain control.
- Resolution will be based on official election results certified by state authorities and reported by major news outlets (AP, Reuters, etc.).
Comparaison des sources de prévision
Marchés ouverts
PoliticsKALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.7%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16.7%
- Gavin Newsom13.5%
+45 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 193,8 M €
- Volume 24h
- 710,8 k €
KALSHIWhat will Trump say this week?
- TDS / Trump Derangement Syndrome99%
- Barack Hussein Obama99%
- Cuba / Cuban99%
+34 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,2 M €
- Volume 24h
- 584,6 k €
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+1.3pt91.1%
- Republican Party-0.7pt8.9%
- Volume total
- 29,6 M €
- Volume 24h
- 407,5 k €
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep+1.0pt60%
- D-House, R-Senate30%
- Republicans sweep-0.6pt9%
+1 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 14,9 M €
POLYMARKETWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- December 31-0.8pt3%
- April 300%
- June 300%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
POLYMARKETFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by which date?
- December+0.5pt21%
- October+0.5pt13%
- September 30,-0.3pt4%
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Brazil Presidential Election
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Next French Presidential Election
- Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?
- Venezuela leader end of 2026?
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Who will control the U.S. Senate after the 2026 midterms? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Democrats à 56% au 21 septembre 2026.
- Quand Who will control the U.S. Senate after the 2026 midterms? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Who will control the U.S. Senate after the 2026 midterms? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2026.
- Comment Who will control the U.S. Senate after the 2026 midterms? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolution criteria
- Où Who will control the U.S. Senate after the 2026 midterms? est-il également listé ?
- La même question est également listée sur PredictIt.