Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleMark Carney 100%En tête parmi 38 options
Prévisionnistes
78
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 35 minutes
30 mars 24, 14:09 UTC9 sept. 99, 14:29 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Who will be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom at some point in their life?
Manifold MarketsWho will be the Prime Minister of Australia at some point in their life?
Manifold MarketsWho will be the President of the United States of America at some point in their life?
Manifold MarketsWill Mark Carney remain in office as Prime Minister of Canada through the end of 2026?
FutuurPrime Minister of Israel after the next election?
PolymarketNext Prime Minister of Sweden
PolymarketRègles
This is a long term market intended for people to be able to see at a glance people who might have high future political potential.
- An answer resolves YES once they become Prime Minister.
- Resolves NO upon their death if they have not become PM.
- I may edit or N/A added answers if they are e.g. duplicates, unclear, etc.
Marchés ouverts
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.6pt24%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 605,6 M €
- Volume 24h
- 691,8 k €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.3pt1%
+16 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt73.3%
- New People (NL)-2.7pt22.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.9pt3%
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.2pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 603,1 M €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt16.2%
- Jon Ossoff-2.0pt16.2%
- Gavin Newsom14.1%
+45 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 183,6 M €
KALSHINew Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Chris Pappas+1.3pt100%
- Karishma Manzur-1.8pt0%
- Jared Sullivan-0.2pt0%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- Next French Presidential Election
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- NJ-07 House winner?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Who will be the Prime Minister of Canada at some point in their life? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Mark Carney à 100% au 9 septembre 2026.
- Quand Who will be the Prime Minister of Canada at some point in their life? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Who will be the Prime Minister of Canada at some point in their life? doit être résolu le 9 septembre 9999.
- Comment Who will be the Prime Minister of Canada at some point in their life? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : This is a long term market intended for people to be able to see at a glance people who might have high future political potential.