Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleFlávio Bolsonaro 34.2%-13.9ptEn tête parmi 26 options
Prévisionnistes
18
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
-33.5 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 17 heures
Obsolète28 mars 24, 12:38 UTC9 sept. 99, 14:29 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Who will be the President of the United States of America at some point in their life?
Manifold MarketsWho will be the Prime Minister of Australia at some point in their life?
Manifold MarketsWho will be the President of France at some point in their life?
Manifold MarketsWho will be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom at some point in their life?
Manifold MarketsWill the next President of Brazil's Senate be from the PL?
FutuurPrime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election?
KalshiRègles
This is a long term market intended for people to be able to see at a glance people who might have high future political potential.
- An answer resolves YES when that person democratic become the president of Brazil.
- It's important to note that temporary occupation of the presidency, such as during a president's travels, does not count as a YES.
- But if a vice president assumes the presidency in a non-temporary capacity, such as due to the president's resignation, removal from office, or incapacity it counts as YES.
- Resolves NO upon their death if they have not become president.
- I may edit or N/A added answers if they are e.g. duplicates, unclear, etc.
