Who will be the Prime Minister of Australia after the next federal election?
PolitiqueOne-OffUS PoliticsÉlection1aManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleAnthony Albanese 59.2%En tête parmi 4 options
Prévisionnistes
7
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
+12.8 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 18 heures
Obsolète20 juil. 26, 06:56 UTC20 mai 28, 02:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will One Nation win a majority of seats in the House of Representatives at the next federal election in Australia?
Manifold MarketsWho will be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the next election?
PolymarketPrime Minister of Australia after the next election?
KalshiWho will be the Prime Minister of Australia at some point in their life?
Manifold MarketsAnthony Albanese out as Prime Minister of Australia by which date?
PolymarketWho will win the 2028 Australian federal election?
Manifold MarketsRègles
Market Overview
- This market predicts who will hold the office of Prime Minister of Australia immediately following the next federal election.
- The constitutional deadline for the election is 20 May 2028.
- This market tracks both the outcome of the general election and potential mid-term leadership spills within the major political parties.
- Initial Candidates
- the named outcome: The incumbent Prime Minister leading the Australian Labor Party government following his re-election in 2025.
Marchés ouverts
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.6pt24%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 605,6 M €
- Volume 24h
- 691,8 k €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.3pt1%
+16 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt73.3%
- New People (NL)-2.7pt22.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.9pt3%
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.2pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 603,1 M €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt16.2%
- Jon Ossoff-2.0pt16.2%
- Gavin Newsom14.1%
+45 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 183,6 M €
KALSHINew Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Chris Pappas+1.3pt100%
- Karishma Manzur-1.8pt0%
- Jared Sullivan-0.2pt0%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- Next French Presidential Election
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- NJ-07 House winner?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Who will be the Prime Minister of Australia after the next federal election? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Anthony Albanese à 59% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Who will be the Prime Minister of Australia after the next federal election? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Who will be the Prime Minister of Australia after the next federal election? doit être résolu le 20 mai 2028.
- Comment Who will be the Prime Minister of Australia after the next federal election? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Market Overview