Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
Other 34.6%En tête parmi 19 options
Other 34.6%Prévisionnistes
47
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 3 heures
Obsolète21 févr. 24, 22:29 UTC3 janv. 27, 07:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Next US Senate Minority Leader?
PolymarketChuck Schumer out as Senate Minority Leader?
KalshiWill Hakeem Jeffries be the Majority or Minority Leader in the House after the Midterms?
Manifold MarketsFirst House Minority Leader of the next Congress?
Manifold MarketsWill Mike Johnson be Speaker of the House following the Midterms?
Manifold MarketsMike Johnson out as Speaker of the House?
KalshiRègles
Mike Johnson is the current Republican Speaker of the House and the #1 Republican in the US House of Representatives.
- If the Republicans lost their majority in the House, Johnson would likely become become the Republican Minority Leader, which would then be the position of the #1 Republican under a Democratic Party House.
- This market resolves to the name of the next Republican after Mike Johnson to assume the position of either Speaker of the House or Minority Leader.
- In the case of a leadership crisis like the one resulting from Speaker McCarthy's removal as speaker, the person appointed to Speaker pro tempore (if anyone) does not count.
- Only a permanent Republican Speaker or permanent Republican Minority Leader resolves this market.
- If you have suggestions for other candidates to add, please leave a comment below.