KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Non 97%
Qualité du marché
≤49 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
9,9 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
1.5% / 2.5%
Écart
1.0 pt
Spread serréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 8 minutes
24 nov. 25, 22:00 UTC3 nov. 26, 15:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
IF Democrats win the senate, will Chuck Schumer be their leader?
Manifold MarketsWill Chuck Schumer announce he’s not running for reelection before EOY 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Chuck Schumer stop being Senate Democratic Leader before the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Chuck Schumer remain the Democratic Leader through the 119th Congress?
PredictItWill Chuck Schumer run for reelection?
KalshiJohn Thune announces departure as Senate Majority Leader?
KalshiRègles
If Chuck Schumer is no longer Senate Minority Leader before Nov 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:the United States CongressThe New York Timesthe Associated PressReutersAxiosPoliticoSemaforThe InformationThe Washington PostThe Wall Street JournalABCCBSCNNFox NewsMSNBC
- In the event of death, the market will resolve to the last traded price prior to death, unless such a price is not available, not logically consistent, or not representative of a fair settlement value, in which case the Exchange may determine a fair value in its sole discretion.
Marchés ouverts
Politics
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 résultats de plus
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- 605,7 M €
- Volume 24h
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- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
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+16 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 603,2 M €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 résultats de plus
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POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
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- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 résultats de plus
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
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- South Carolina Senate winner?
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Chuck Schumer out as Senate Minority Leader? ?
- Kalshi cote No à 97% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Chuck Schumer out as Senate Minority Leader? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Chuck Schumer out as Senate Minority Leader? doit être résolu le 3 novembre 2026.
- Comment Chuck Schumer out as Senate Minority Leader? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If Chuck Schumer is no longer Senate Minority Leader before Nov 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.