Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleJD Vance 52%En tête parmi 10 options
Prévisionnistes
11
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 5 heures
Obsolète31 mai 26, 02:08 UTC1 juil. 28, 16:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Who going to be the Republican 2028 candidate?
Manifold MarketsGiven the Republican candidate wins the 2024 presidency, will the real median household income be more than $74,580?
Manifold MarketsWill Elon Musk endorse a republican candidate in the next US presidential election?
Manifold MarketsPresidential Election Winner 2028
PolymarketBrazil Presidential Election
PolymarketRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
PolymarketRègles
(EN) The 2028 Republican primary is shaping up as the first true post-Trump succession battle inside the modern GOP.
- With President Donald Trump term-limited, the central question is whether Republican voters choose a direct heir to the MAGA movement or pivot toward a different conservative coalition.
- (ES) Las primarias republicanas de 2028 se perfilan como la primera verdadera batalla por la sucesión dentro del Partido Republicano moderno tras la era Trump.
- Con el mandato del presidente Donald Trump limitado, la cuestión central es si los votantes republicanos elegirán a un heredero directo del movimiento MAGA o se decantarán por una coalición conservadora diferente.
Marchés ouverts
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.6pt24%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 605,6 M €
- Volume 24h
- 691,8 k €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.3pt1%
+16 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt73.3%
- New People (NL)-2.7pt22.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.9pt3%
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.2pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 603,1 M €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt16.2%
- Jon Ossoff-2.0pt16.2%
- Gavin Newsom14.1%
+45 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 183,6 M €
KALSHINew Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Chris Pappas+1.3pt100%
- Karishma Manzur-1.8pt0%
- Jared Sullivan-0.2pt0%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
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- NJ-07 House winner?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Who will be the next Republican candidate for 2028? ?
- Manifold Markets cote JD Vance à 52% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Who will be the next Republican candidate for 2028? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Who will be the next Republican candidate for 2028? doit être résolu le 1 juillet 2028.
- Comment Who will be the next Republican candidate for 2028? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : (EN) The 2028 Republican primary is shaping up as the first true post-Trump succession battle inside the modern GOP.