Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOther 50.8%+0.1ptEn tête parmi 3 options
Prévisionnistes
42
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
-1.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 14 minutes
3 nov. 25, 17:50 UTC11 nov. 28, 01:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Given the Republican candidate wins the 2024 presidency, will the real median household income be more than $74,580?
Manifold MarketsWill Elon Musk endorse a republican candidate in the next US presidential election?
Manifold MarketsWho will be the next Republican candidate for 2028?
Manifold MarketsPresidential Election Winner 2028
PolymarketRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
PolymarketWhich party will win the U.S. House?
KalshiRègles
Who will be the Republican Party's official nominee for the 2028 presidential election?
- Context: Vice President the named outcome and President the named outcome are the two leading potential Republican candidates for 2028.
- Vance currently leads in primary polling, but Trump has not ruled out running despite constitutional term limits.
- Resolution: This market resolves to whichever candidate is officially nominated by the Republican Party at the 2028 Republican National Convention or through the formal RNC nomination process.
- If neither Vance nor Trump is nominated, the market resolves to "Other."
- Sources for verification:
Marchés ouverts
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.6pt24%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 605,6 M €
- Volume 24h
- 691,8 k €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.3pt1%
+16 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt73.3%
- New People (NL)-2.7pt22.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.9pt3%
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.2pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 603,1 M €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt16.2%
- Jon Ossoff-2.0pt16.2%
- Gavin Newsom14.1%
+45 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 183,6 M €
KALSHINew Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Chris Pappas+1.3pt100%
- Karishma Manzur-1.8pt0%
- Jared Sullivan-0.2pt0%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- Next French Presidential Election
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- NJ-07 House winner?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Who going to be the Republican 2028 candidate? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Other à 51% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Who going to be the Republican 2028 candidate? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Who going to be the Republican 2028 candidate? doit être résolu le 11 novembre 2028.
- Comment Who going to be the Republican 2028 candidate? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Who will be the Republican Party's official nominee for the 2028 presidential election?