Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleAmy Klobuchar (DFL) 96%En tête parmi 21 options
Prévisionnistes
16
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 12 heures
Obsolète8 janv. 26, 22:39 UTC3 nov. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
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Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Tim Walz out as Governor of Minnesota?
KalshiWill Tim Walz Finish his term as Governor of Minnesota?
Manifold MarketsTim Walz out as Governor of Minnesota?
LimitlessWhich party will win the 2026 election for governor of Minnesota?
PredictItPresidential Election Winner 2028
PolymarketRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
PolymarketRègles
Resolution criteria
- The election will take place on November 3, 2026.
- The winner will be determined by the candidate who receives the most votes in the general election.
- Resolution will be based on official results from the Minnesota Secretary of State's office at https://www.sos.state.mn.us/elections-voting/election-results/.
- Incumbent two-term Democratic Governor Tim Walz initially ran for reelection to a third term in office, but announced in January 2026 that he would drop out of the race.
- Primary elections are scheduled for August 11, 2026, with both major political parties hosting their gubernatorial primary elections on Aug. 11, shortening the list of candidates who can run on the November ballot as the official DFL or GOP nominee to one candidate per party.
Marchés ouverts
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
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POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 603,2 M €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 résultats de plus
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- 183,4 M €
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POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 résultats de plus
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- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Who will be the next Governor of Minnesota? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Amy Klobuchar (DFL) à 96% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Who will be the next Governor of Minnesota? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Who will be the next Governor of Minnesota? doit être résolu le 3 novembre 2026.
- Comment Who will be the next Governor of Minnesota? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolution criteria