Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréAlerte qualité des donnéesDonnées source dégradées
Données au 25 oct. 2026, 06:50 UTC · politique pm-quality-4
Prévision communautaire actuelleStephen 85.3%En tête parmi 3 options
Prévisionnistes
28
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 16 heures
Obsolète25 nov. 23, 06:05 UTC2 janv. 30, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will any Manifold founder or FTE be on Lex Fridman podcast by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
PolymarketInk FDV above ___ one day after launch?
PolymarketSpaceX' Market Cap end of October 2026?
PolymarketLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
PolymarketWill $TSLA close above $1000 per share by December 31 2026?
Manifold MarketsRègles
It seems likely that the founders will eventually stop working for Manifold.
- Either the platform does well and some of them sell out, or it does poorly and some of them quit.
- Either way, unless multiple leave simultaneously, there will be one who's last.
- This market resolves to that person.
- (Or a tie, if more than one leaves simultaneously.)
- Specifically, this means them ceasing to be an owner and/or employee of the company.
