Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOther 64.3%En tête parmi 10 options
Prévisionnistes
19
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 4 heures
Obsolète3 févr. 26, 03:33 UTC31 déc. 32, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
0.5%
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will the next elected US president be a woman?
PolymarketWill someone under 70 be elected US president in 2028?
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PredictItRègles
Longer title: "Contingent on someone being elected US president in 2032, who will be the first person to be elected US president in 2032?"
- You may add answers.
- I will N/A or edit any answer which does not clearly and reasonably refer to a single identified individual.
- If somehow no one is elected US president in 2032, I will N/A the market.
- If somehow more than one person is elected US president in 2032, I will resolve to the first such person.
- I will not trade in this market.
Marchés ouverts
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 605,7 M €
- Volume 24h
- 697,7 k €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 603,2 M €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 183,4 M €
- Volume 24h
- 471,3 k €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 résultats de plus
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
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- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Who will be elected US president in 2032? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Other à 64% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Who will be elected US president in 2032? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Who will be elected US president in 2032? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2032.
- Comment Who will be elected US president in 2032? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Longer title: "Contingent on someone being elected US president in 2032, who will be the first person to be elected US president in 2032?"